Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.233751 11.802802 13.487147 15.424479 17.585813 19.917404 22.617282
2025-08-24 7.816867 9.866630 12.227627 15.128125 18.574031 22.515050 27.339804
2025-08-31 6.243466 8.463206 11.164185 14.652566 18.994727 24.175654 30.774199
2025-09-07 5.352419 7.705273 10.702145 14.734147 19.944187 26.371730 34.813264
2025-09-14 4.642228 7.060229 10.269896 14.747781 20.726213 28.317066 38.550476
2025-09-21 4.125489 6.597510 10.003844 14.912394 21.656896 30.437232 42.543213
2025-09-28 3.645356 6.120014 9.654361 14.905562 22.317067 32.191042 46.087566
2025-10-05 3.352924 5.879200 9.603705 15.287596 23.498222 34.655337 50.634389
2025-10-12 3.067443 5.612424 9.481964 15.540801 24.488083 36.874600 54.906117
2025-10-19 2.777470 5.303042 9.262413 15.620161 25.212106 38.731379 58.721473
2025-10-26 2.417136 4.834435 8.751483 15.212882 25.184432 39.505411 61.027730
2025-11-02 2.127269 4.451145 8.338690 14.917845 25.290031 40.450292 63.579901
2025-11-09 1.861979 4.083216 7.922978 14.592966 25.336847 41.318455 66.068771
2025-11-16 1.636175 3.759922 7.552081 14.309248 25.422111 42.233181 68.641889
2025-11-23 1.412347 3.410496 7.101767 13.855076 25.201053 42.661490 70.488820
2025-11-30 1.291287 3.250371 6.973046 13.932978 25.830758 44.395557 74.327586
2025-12-07 1.174280 3.083327 6.815592 13.945997 26.346398 45.960702 77.945287
2025-12-14 1.086736 2.968113 6.744367 14.103199 27.102327 47.918212 82.209929
2025-12-21 0.988937 2.817014 6.589941 14.096675 27.574397 49.433160 85.822853
2025-12-28 0.939548 2.770814 6.637490 14.461561 28.694247 52.014115 91.162721
2026-01-04 0.881498 2.696489 6.621360 14.703441 29.605507 54.279200 96.056907
2026-01-11 0.812792 2.586743 6.522431 14.779258 30.222698 56.076105 100.246100
2026-01-18 0.710967 2.377809 6.195413 14.390194 29.987292 56.449404 102.152296